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Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 5/15/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

by Tony Sink – 5/14/2024

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, May 15, 2024

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+166) Atlanta (-198)

The Atlanta Braves (25-13) will play the Chicago Cubs (24-18) at Truist Park on Wednesday. The line on this contest has Chicago at +166 while Atlanta is priced at -198. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Javier Assad and Charlie Morton.

Chicago has a slugging % of .388 and have been called out on strikes 364 times, while taking a walk on 160 occasions. They have earned 182 runs batted in in addition to 330 base knocks on the season, while their batting average is sitting at .237. The Cubs have earned 61 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 44 balls out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 195 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .320. As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are notching 4.6 runs/g, which has them at 12th in baseball.

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The Cubs are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.78 so far this year (12th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 361 batters. Cubs pitchers have given up 39 home runs and 179 total runs (15th in baseball). They have walked 141 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.83 as a unit on the year. Chicago has given up 341 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 157 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.56 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.29.

The Cubs have sent 136 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 66 runners on the year and 34.8% of those runners crossed home plate. They have earned 12 saves for the season and have blown 9 of their 21 chances to get a save. The Cubs relievers have compiled a save rate of 57.1% and has come into the game in 45 save situations. The relievers are sitting with 23 holds over the course of the season (11th in MLB). Cubs pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 46 times and also have had 57 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Chicago Cubs are sitting with 1,121 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 348 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which is 24th in baseball, and they have turned 24 double plays. The Cubs have converted 69.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 3,363 innings on the field, which has them sitting 21st in professional baseball.

Assad has pitched in 189 frames and has earned 159 punch outs in his MLB career. Assad (10-5 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.08 and he has gone up against 786 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.76 (58 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.236. He has conceded 159 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) with 75 walks.

The Braves hold a slugging % of .414 and they average 4.87 runs per game (7th in MLB). They have 76 two-baggers, while walking 125 times as well as scoring 185 runs. Atlanta has tallied 41 HRs for the season and 178 runs batted in. They have struck out on 330 occasions (20th in baseball) and have tallied 331 base hits. The Atlanta Braves have an on-base percentage of .327 as well as a batting average of .255 this season.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.199 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.79 as a pitching staff this year. They are sitting at 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 293. The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 138 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 3.39 (128 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.60 (324 strikeouts vs 115 walks). They have given up 38 homers and they relinquish 3.65 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball).

With 41 save situations, the Braves have compiled 22 holds and also 7 blown saves. Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 19 save opportunities and they have tallied 12 saves. Their relievers have come in 45 times in high leverage situations and on 31 occasions with base runners. Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.4% out of 35 inherited runners. They rank 16th in the league with a save percentage of 63.2%, and they have sent 119 relievers onto the diamond so far this year.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 35 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .991 (1st in pro baseball). The Braves have recorded 377 assists, 12 errors and have amassed 1,022 putouts this season. In 3,066 innings on the field, the Braves have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 71.3% (5th in professional baseball).

In his MLB career, Morton has allowed 1,868 base knocks while he has tallied 1,920 K’s in 2,003 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 886 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.300 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.61 and he has gone up against 8,568 batters during his MLB career. Morton (133-113 career mark) has earned a 3.98 earned run average while conceding 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

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